For the last five years I’ve felt very isolated in my circle of friends. Global warming was not an easy subject and led to many arguments; it was best avoided. This weekend I was sitting with a group of (unrelated) people I’d known since a child, and the subject of wheat farming and weather forecasts came up and almost without prompting someone else mentioned their dislike of the politicisation at the Met Office, the way the forecasts were always wrong and their suspicion about what we are being told about global warming. And, then the rest of the company agreed with them.
None of these people had any financial interest in the subject, they were all educated in science at leading Universities, but they are not only questioning the assertions of global warming, they were actively sceptical.
To say I was shocked was an understatement. In many other ways this is a very pro-environment group. They e.g. religiously recycle, pick up litter and have a passion for the countryside. The conversation went as easily from where the best place was to put insulation in the home to their disquiet about the science of “global warming”.
This tells me, that the scientifically literate within the whole UK have turned against the global warming propaganda; not quietly as if they were ashamed, but openly discussing their scepticism. They will not be marching on Downing Street, nor occupying the buildings of the British Wind Industry, but they are by far and away the most influential group within UK society: they are the people from whom others will take their cue. In thousands of such conversations up and down the UK, these scientifically literate individuals will be offering their judgement of the “science” of global warming and now that verdict will be severe.
It is now only a matter of time before the global warming scam falls apart. How can it do otherwise? There is no new evidence stoking up the scare on the horizon. So much of the scare was cherry picking short term trends that are clearly zeroing out to nothing over the longer term or patently have other causes, that the “evidence” base for the scare is eroding. In a real sense, it has already fallen, because the dynamics are such that it cannot possibly keep standing.
I would say that this same group just after climategate would have been largely pro the warmist view. Now roughly the same group is largely anti the warmist view. From the way the news reporting is changing, that swing in attitude is already affecting the media, and I suspect within the year, the media will be similarly largely hostile. Then we have the last to know anything: the politicians. I give them two years at most – indeed the policy focus in Scotland has already changed from CO2 to peak oil. Two more years and a majority are going to be sceptical.
But a warning! Too many politicians in the parliaments and the scientific institutes have built their reputations on the myth of global warming to allow simple facts or voter opinions to sway them. Such Politicians cannot just say everything they once said was wrong. Everything can be against them, but they cannot easily do a U turn. I suspect only their removal from office will change their view on the subject.
The Biased Broadcasting Company
In some senses, the real heart of the global warming scandal has been the BBC. It’s so endemic in the BBC, that I’m not sure any amount of evidence will ever persuade the BBC to admit it was wrong.